Showing posts with label Vargas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Vargas. Show all posts

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Z's, Clones done for season, Mets fall

Last night in Sacramento, one inning, the fourth, both cost the New Orleans Zephyrs their third playoff game and knocked them out of the playoffs.

In the fourth, starter Jason Vargas made the mistake of allowing the leadoff hitter to get on base. He walked him. Jeremy Brown, a player whom Michael Lewis devoted a chapter to in his book, Moneyball, singled. A fielding error, a double, a single, a sacrifice bunt, and a throwing error by Vargas followed before Vargas could get the final two outs. Four runs crossed the plate, one more than the River Cats would need to win the game. They were the only runs Sacramento scored in the game.

During his six innings, Vargas surrendered six hits, two walks, and four runs. He threw 97 pitches. If it weren't for the fourth inning his stats would have been three hits, two walks, no runs. And the Z's would have won the game.

On the same night the Zephyrs were eliminated from the playoffs, so were the Brooklyn Cyclones. Their opponent, the Auburn Doubledays, also scored four runs, however, the Clones were able to score only one. And, as in the Zephyrs game, all the opponent's runs were scored off the Clone's starting pitcher, Michael Antonini. Unfortunately, Antonini's regular season ERA of 0.46 didn't carry over into the playoffs.

Antonini had held Auburn scoreless until the fifth. But then, in the fifth, he walked the leadoff batter (Sound familiar?) and then served up a gopher ball. In the sixth, he got the first batter out, but then gave up a single and a home run to put the Cyclones behind 4-1, which is how the game ended.

The Men of Shea didn't have better luck. The New York Mets latest nemesis, the Philadelphia Phillies, found a way to defeat them again. If it weren't for the sixth inning, Tom Glavine would have notched his 14th win. But he allowed the Phillies to tie the game when, after walking the leadoff batter (Sound familiar?), he plated a pitch that left-handed batter Chase Utley hit over the right field fence.

Then, in the tenth, Mets catcher Mike DeFelice, who was in the game after Paul Lo Duca was tossed out of it earlier in the inning for arguing a third strike, dropped a foul ball. That allowed the batter, Carlos Ruiz, to get another chance at the plate, which he used to advance the runner on first to second. Soon after, that runner scored the winning run on a sacrifice fly.

That wasn't the first time that Lo Duca couldn't control his temper. And in as important a game as that was, his failure to control it played a factor in the team's loss. If I were Willie Randolph I let Lo Duca sit on the bench for at least a game. He needs a cooling-off period, a chance to reflect on the fact that when he loses his temper, it could result in the Mets losing the game.

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Start the best

One of the visitors who leaves comments on this blog, Dave, gave a lot of thought to the one he left on September 9; however, his philosophy as how the New York Mets should fill vacancies in their 2008 starting rotation differs dramatically from mine.

I'd commented that I'd set aside spots for Tom Glavine and El Duque, if they both return, and put the other three up for grabs. That seemed to surprise Dave, who responded "Have they [Maine and Perez] not already proven themselves as legitimate starters this season?"

That's a valid question.

"Proven" themselves? To me, no.

In my book, a pitcher has proven himself when he can produce quality starts on a consistent basis. As of September 8th, Tom Glavine had 21 quality starts in 29 starts (72%), El Duque 17 in 23 (74%), John Maine 15 in 28 (54%), and Oliver Perez 14 in 25 (56%).

A pitcher who can produce a quality start in at least 70% of his starts has proven himself to me. A pitcher who can only produce a quality start about half the time he's on the mound hasn't. Glavine has proven himself, as has El Duque.

As a result, I'd make both John Maine and Oliver Perez compete for spots with Mike Pelfrey, Philip Humber, Adam Bostick, Jason Vargas, and Kevin Mulvey. The Mets need to give their best pitching prospects a better chance to make it into their rotation than they have in the past. Otherwise,what message are they sending to them? Pitch well so you can pitch for someone else?

In pro football, many coaches in training camp encourage competition for all positions except possibly a few manned by stars. It adds a spark to the camp. If the Mets did that next string training with their starting rotation, I believe it would have the same effect. If either Maine or Perez complains, so be it. Let's see if they have the wherewithal to ward off the challengers. And if they don't, that should send a message loud-and-clear to the Mets front office.

It's all about winning, not maintaining the status quo just to keep players happy.

To make matters more interesting, the Mets should invite Dylan Owen to spring training. Last night in Brooklyn's first playoff game, Owen pitched five innings of four-hit, no walk, shutout ball in which he struck out seven. He's continuing to pitch in the playoffs as he did during the regular season when he led the New York-Penn League in both wins and ERA while compiling a strikeout to walk ratio of almost 6 to 1. If any Mets' pitching prospect deserves a chance to rub shoulders with its big leaguers, it's Owen. And though he's a long shot to win a spot in the rotation, he's a winner, so I wouldn't bet against him.

Finally
Dave, keep the comments coming. You've stirred up my thinking, and I really appreciate it.

Friday, September 7, 2007

Zephyrs win 2nd play-off game

If there's any pitcher who's been a puzzle to me this season, it's been Jason Vargas. In the two games he pitched for the New York Mets this season, in 10.1 innings he gave up 17 hits, 14 runs, and four home runs.

During the regular season in Triple-A, he had a 9-7 record. And then, in his last regular season start on September 3, he was pulled after two innings. Now it's evident why. New Orleans wanted him available to pitch last night.

In his first play-off start in his minor league career, he limited Nashville to three singles, throwing only 83 pitches in six innings; 58 (70%) were strikes. The Zephyrs win gives them a 2-0 lead in the best-of-five series.

After the game, the Web site minorleaguebaseball.com quoted Vargas as saying "My approach today was simple. I just kept trying to pound the bottom of the strike zone and get off the field as soon as possible. It was hot out there, but it's the humidity that really gets to you."

It was 87 degrees at game time.

Vargas finished the regular season with 4.97 ERA. Though his statistics aren't great, they're much better than they were last season when he pitched for the Albuquerque Isotopes, another PCL team. His record with them was 3-6 and his ERA 7.43.

Vargas will likely be invited to Spring Training; however, if he doesn't make it onto the Mets roster and is again assigned to Triple-A, he could become a permanent minor leaguer.

In high Single-A, in its play-off game against Brevard County, the St. Lucie Mets got clobbered 13-2. Starter Eric Brown couldn't make it through the third inning. The loss eliminated the Mets from the play-offs.

Brown had more success during the regular season when he went 10-8 with a 4.13 ERA. His win total was the second highest on the team behind Jon Niese, who won 11.

In short-season Single-A, Brooklyn is still playing regular season games. It won last night 3-2, beating Lowell at home in 11 innings. Though Dillon Gee pitched well, giving up only five hits, two runs, and no walks in six innings, he didn't get the win. Brooklyn's regular season ends tomorrow.

Saturday, August 25, 2007

Strange things sometimes happen in baseball

Yesterday, both the Mets Oliver Perez and the Zephyrs Jason Vargas pitched similar games. Each pitched seven innings of shutout ball. Perez last pitched that many innings of runless baseball on June 15. When Vargas last did that wasn't available on the Zephyrs Web site. The big difference between the two was in walks and strikeouts with Vargas showing better control of his pitches.



























PitcherIPERHitsBBSOPC-ST
Perez70356119-71
Vargas70418101-66


I found it strange because neither has been pitching that well of late, especially Vargas. For both of them to pitch good games on the same day was just amazin' to me. May it happen more often.

The two don't compare as well in their last 10 starts. In his last 10, Perez was 6-4, giving up 26 earned runs and 58 hits in 59.2 innings. His ERA was 3.92. Vargas didn't fare as well. In his last 10, Vargas, also a lefty, was 3-3. He gave up more earned runs (33) and more hits (63) in fewer innings (51.1). His ERA was 5.79 ERA.

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Is Minaya missing something?

On a Mets discussion board, Chico posted a message revealing the highlights of WFAN host Mike Francesa's recent interview with Omar Minaya.

According to Chico, Minaya said that he
  • has tried to claim relievers who were placed on waivers, unsuccessfully
  • tried to trade for Eric Gagne
  • may call up Zephyr starters to relieve (The Zephyrs are the Mets Triple-A affiliate)
It's good to see that Minaya appreciates the fact the Mets current relievers are not pitching well enough; however, has he really looked at how the Zephyrs starters have been doing?

Here's an abbreviated log of what Zephyr Philip Humber's did in his final inning of a start that lasted just 3.2 innings:
  • Single
  • Walk
  • Double steal
  • Home run
  • Home run
  • Popout
  • Flyout
  • Walk
  • Double
As soon as I looked at the log something struck me. Humber gave up two home runs after the double steal. It must have affected his pitching.

Should Minaya be calling up Humber to be a Mets reliever during a pennant race? The Mets need relievers with nerves of steel who won't flinch in the face of adversity.

Three other Zephyr pitchers didn't do any better in their last starts. Adam Bostick gave up six earned runs in five innings. Dave Williams gave up seven earned runs in 6.1 innings. Jason Vargas gave up five runs in five innings.

The only two who had decent last starts were Mike Pelfrey and Jose Santiago. Pelfrey gave up three earned runs in five innings; however, he threw 94 pitches, which indicates control problems. Only Jose Santiago had a quality start, giving up only one run in six innings, but his ERA's 5.27.

Thursday, August 9, 2007

Mets and Cyclones win, Zephyrs get swept

I'll start with the good news.

This Sunday, August 12, at KeySpan Park, the Cyclones will give the first 2,000 fans at least 21 years old a replica of Ebbets Field. There's a photo of it on the Cyclones Web site, and it looks hot.

More good news. On the field yesterday, the Cyclones shut out Mahoning Valley, 2-0. Mahoning Valley, for geography buffs, is in Niles, Ohio.

In Ohio, Cyclone Dylan Owen notched his sixth win with a three-hit performance. His five innings of shutout ball lowered his ERA to 2.05. Relievers Daniel McDonald and Stephen Clyne, both 2007 draftees, polished off the Scrappers in the final two innings, allowing just a sole hit.

The New York Mets selected Owen in the 20th round of the MLB 2007 First-Year Player Draft. He could turn out to be one of the steals of the draft.

His success with the Cyclones isn't as surprising when you look at his college record. Before joining the Cyclones this season, he pitched for Franklin Marion University. Its Athletics Department reported that "Of the 77 hits he [Owen] allowed this season, only eight were for extra bases and he did not surrender a home run. He leads Division II in ERA and strikeouts. His lone loss came in the season opener."

His college accomplishments earned Owen first team recognition on the 2007 Rawlings/ABCA Division II Baseball All-America Team; Rawlings also selected him as their National Pitcher of the Year. Plus, Owen was the NCBWA Pitcher of the Year and made the 2007 National Collegiate Baseball Writers' Association Division II All-American first team.

Even more good news. The Mets won! Down 3-0 to the Braves in the bottom of the seventh, the Mets tied the game on three singles and a walk and then won it in the bottom of the eighth on Moises Alou's fifth home run.

The Mets had a close call in the ninth with Billy Wagner pitching. After surrendering two singles, he walked ex-Met Chris Woodward to load the bases with no outs. Luckily, Wagner got the next batter, Jeff Francoeur, to ground to Wright at third. Wright's throw to the plate beat Chipper Jones. One out. The other Jones, Andruw, then grounded into a double play. Game over. Mets won!

A Mets star of the game was Shawn Green, the subject of criticism of late in some Mets discussion boards. He went 4 for 4. And recent addition Luis Castillo upped his Mets average to .344 with 2 for 3 hitting. Coincidentally, Castillo now has the same batting average as the man he replaced, Ruben Gotay.

The Mets needed this win as the Phillies also won.

The bad news. Jason Vargas lost his seventh as the Fresno Grizzlies swept the Zephyrs. In five innings he gave up five runs, upping his ERA to 5.52.

Omar, why does Vargas' career seem to be regressing?

Sunday, July 29, 2007

Pitching fluctuates across Mets organization

Yesterday, the Mets organization benefited from two sterling pitching performances, endured an abysmal one, and observed a starter with an 0-7 record fail to win again.

Orlando Hernandez pitched the best game: seven innings, three hits, one run, one walk, eight strikeouts.

Mike Pelfrey again failed to win with the Big Club. In six innings he gave up eight hits and three runs, all the runs scoring in the third inning. At least this time he didn't lose and only walked one batter. However, his ERA still's high: 5.92.

Speaking of high ERA's, Guillermo Mota's is 5.40 and Joe Smith's was 3.03, yet Mota remains on the New York roster while Smith's down in Triple-A.

Jason Vargas reaffirmed my belief that he should be sent down to Double-A. In 3.1 innings he got hit hard, giving up 10 hits and four runs to up his ERA to 5.59. It amazes me that he has a winning record (7-6). On Tuesday, another Zephyr pitched well. Adam Bostick pitched five innings of one hit, no run, one walk ball. In his last 12.2 innings he's yielded just two runs.

Nicholas Waechter did what so few New York Mets pitchers have done this season: shown the consistent ability to pitch well. He pitched Brooklyn to a 2-1 victory. In six innings he limited Vermont to four hits and a run. Twenty one year old righty William Morgan pitched the final two innings, giving up no runs, no hits, and no walks, to lower his ERA to 0.90.

In Kingsport 2007 second round draft choice Brant Rustich continues to pitch well. In 8.1 innings he hasn't given up a run, earned or unearned, while striking out nine.

And the disaster of the day occurred in Binghamton. Ahead 7-1 entering the ninth, two Mets' relievers gave up 10 runs to prevent 23 year old Jose Sanchez from achieving his fourth win. Sanchez pitched well enough. In 6.2 innings he held Bowie to seven hits and a run. But then ex-big leaguer Lino Urdaneta entered the game. Against him, in just 1.1 innings Bowie amassed five runs on seven hits and a walk. So Carlos Muniz replaced him. Muniz has been pitching well this season for the B-Mets, but not yesterday.

He faced nine batters in the ninth: double, double, error, single, single, wild pitch, strikeout, error, double. In 0.1 innings he gave up five runs on five hits as his won-lost record dropped below .500. Despite the bombing, Muniz's ERA rose to only 2.50.

There was a positive in the B-Met disaster. Left fielder Jamar Hill went four for four, scoring twice, driving in two runs, and hitting a homer. At 24 Hill's a bit old to be playing in Double-A; however, his .340 average makes it easy to overlook his age.

Last year at St. Lucie Hill hit .258. The Mets selected Hill in the 48th round of the 2001 MLB Player Draft.

Trade of the Day

Two ex-Mets swapped teams. Saturday the Tampa Bay Devil Rays sent infielder Ty Wigginton to the Houston Astros for relief pitcher Dan Wheeler. Wigginton played three seasons for the Mets from 2002-2004, hitting .285; Wheeler played two from 2003-2004, leaving with a 4.29 ERA.

Wednesday, July 4, 2007

Vargas worse than bad; Cyclones better

I'm not surprised by Jason Vargas' performance last night. Though Mets management might believe he's ready for the big-time, I don't. And last night Vargas proved it. A New York Post headline summed up his performance: "VARGAS ATROCIOUS DURING METS' THIRD STRAIGHT LOSS." In three and a third innings he gave up nine runs on 11 hits. This is the guy that Minaya traded Henry Owens for, who not only is on the Marlins roster but has an ERA under 2.00. Another bad Minaya deal.

The Cyclones beat Aberdeen 2-1 without giving up an earned run. Five pitchers contributed toward the win with starter Eric Niesen pitching the most, three and third innings. A lefty out of Wake Forest University, the Mets selected Niesen in the third round of the 2007 baseball draft. He both started and relieved at Wake Forest, limiting opposing batters to a team-low .218 average. Read Inside Pitch Magazine's interview with Niesen.