In his last 10 games, Binghamton Mets reliever Brad Holt has a 4.70 ERA; however, if it were not for two of those games, his ERA would be 1.19. Both games were against the Portland Sea Dogs. In both, he pitched just one inning. And in both, he gave up three hits and three runs.
If Portland were in first place in the B-Mets division, his failures against them would be more understandable; however, the Sea Dogs are in last place, a half game behind Binghamton, which is in next-to-last place.
In seven of the other games, he held the opponent run-less, and in the eighth one, he gave up two runs. He had one of his best outings against the league leader, New Hampshire, holding them scoreless and hitless in two innings.
One noticeable difference between his early success and his later performance is in his walks to strikeouts ratio. In 2008, it was about 1:3. In 2009, it was about 1:3.5. In 2010 and 2011, it's been close to 1:1.
In December 2010, Baseball America ranked Holt as the Mets 10th best prospect. If he wants to increase that ranking, he needs to regain the control he had early in his career and perform better against cellar dwellers.
The Mets selected Holt in the first round of the 2008 MLB Draft.